Dec 22, 2014

The Abridged Version of The Intelligent Investor, summarized by Daniel Alexander Apatiga

The Abridged Version of The Intelligent Investor, summarized by Daniel Alexander Apatiga

                According to The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham (4th edition Audible mp3 version), the main thing that is the most important is to invest in securities/equities (with the exception being that of Bonds, which doesn’t fluctuate like a stock by nature) whenever they are at a “bargain” price.  But, in order to analyze the stock, one must look at its past history.  After the past history is looked at, for instance, how has the p/e ratio changed over time.  If the p/e ratio is high, then it must be a growth stock.  A low p/e ratio (price-to-earnings) implies that it’s undervalued by the market as a whole.  A stock with a low p/e is considered safe.  However, why then does this stock not increase in value and is not more popular?  The fact that the stock is overlooked might imply that it is unpopular, however, it might not grow at the rate you would want it to.  Generally, it is a good idea to invest in unpopular stocks (by volatility and p/e) if you believe that it will become popular.  If you look at a chart of p/e relative to the value of the stock, you will see that there is a close correlation.  Thus, if you buy a stock with the attitude that you think the company will make higher than expected earnings than what other people on wall-street think, then you are on the right track.  Aka., if you go after a stock with lower-than-expected earnings but you think the analysts are wrong, which they typically are (and also analysts vary from one to another), then you should buy the security at the bargain price. 
                Regarding what Graham calls, “dollar-cost-averaging,” this is simply the exercise of depositing funds into your brokerage account every month or at some specific interval to invest into stocks.   This is a practice that I’ve begun, and it’s useful to the extent that it allows for one to invest in various stock as they are “low” so that later you will not regret not investing in the same security you should have invested in. 
                Regarding what Graham considers to be the ideal bond-to-stock ratio, this can only take place once the investor has sufficient funds to invest in bonds and thus, for our purposes as “poor investors,” investing bonds will have to wait until one has around 1k in funds to invest in them.  But typically, the investor should invest in stocks at least 25% of one’s allocated funds for investment purposes and the rest into stocks when the market is at a low, according to Graham.  To take the contrapositive of that statement, if one were to allocate one’s funds when the market is at a high and you have enough funds to invest in Bonds, then the desired ratio is 25% in stocks and the rest into Bonds.  Of course, there is an in-between area from within the spectrum, which is entirely up to you, the intelligent investor, who thinks about the market as a whole.  Bonds are particularly useful because of their historic steadfastness in yielding better results when the market is in depression than if one were to invest in stocks.  Graham gives many examples of this in both his 4th edition book and abridged version combined. 

                Regarding “types” of investors, I was totally unaware that there are more than one type, but according to Graham, the defensive investor is one who does not have time to check his or her portfolio every day.  This kind of investor invests in large-cap stocks, mainly, with little emphasis in high risk, rather, investing in stocks with low p/e and in technology stocks or well-established, popular companies.  The other type is the entrepreneurial investor who spends time in security analysis like it is his or her “quasi-business.”  This is the kind of investor who invests in small businesses he/she thinks will do well, objectively, and who does not listen to analysts because they can be wrong.  He/she looks at small, or unpopular, large businesses “that are going through a time of trouble” in a prophetic way.  This prophetic way is a lot like how Nvidia did well because I knew that Nvidia would become a much larger company than it was.  The entrepreneurial investor is a lot like an inside trader, except he/she does not truly know company secrets, in that he/she has a hunch that the stock will do well because of external factors.  We must all try to be entrepreneurial investors.